{"id":671,"date":"2008-11-24T14:45:06","date_gmt":"2008-11-24T13:45:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.i-base.info\/qa\/?p=671"},"modified":"2021-11-22T12:17:29","modified_gmt":"2021-11-22T12:17:29","slug":"what-is-the-chance-i-will-not-need-treatment-within-5-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/i-base.info\/qa\/671","title":{"rendered":"What is the chance I will not need treatment within 5 years?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hi Robert<\/p>\n<p>You ask a lot of important and normal questions.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m sorry to hear about your recent diagnosis, which I&#8217;m sure must be difficult to get used to.<\/p>\n<p>Although one set of blood results can&#8217;t tell you very much, your counts within the &#8216;normal range&#8217;. What becomes more important is building up a picture from several sets of results over the next few months.<\/p>\n<p>You are right that there is such a wide range of responses, that it is more important to focus on your own results.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this year, an <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aidsonline.com\/pt\/re\/aids\/abstract.00002030-200801020-00011.htm;jsessionid=JqppgYyGVWRLyt0nsdFysMZGfG3NhhbHbbC1MZGJxr2gCVrJKqWx!1453024723!181195628!8091!-1?index=1&amp;database=ppvovft&amp;results=1&amp;count=10&amp;searchid=6&amp;nav=search\">interesting study from the UK<\/a> of people diagnosed with early or recent infection reported that the average time people took for their CD4 counts to start treatment (excluding those who started within the first 6 months) was about 5 years. However, 25% of people needed to start within 2 years of infection and another 25% hadn&#8217;t started after over 10 years.<\/p>\n<p>The two main point here are that i) people probably start treatment a few years earlier on average but that ii) there really is a wide range of individual responses.<\/p>\n<p>Luckily, even if you need treatment earlier, you are likely to get just a good response. The pace that HIV progresses has no relationship to your likelihood of getting a good response once you start.<\/p>\n<p>Based on the above study, the chance is exactly 50:50 that you will need (or not need) treatment in 5 years.<br \/>\nThe chance may be slightly higher now the guidelines for starting treatment are 350 rather than 200 copies\/mm3.<\/p>\n<p>If it is useful to talk about any of this, then please giv the phoneline a call.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I was recently diagnosed with HIV a few weeks ago after being told by an ex-partner that he had tested positive. I contracted HIV from him approximately 12 weeks ago, so I understand that I am still in primary infection phase.<\/p>\n<p>I recently obtained my blood test results showing a CD4 count of 522 and viral load of 55,000. Although these really just numbers for me, I guess I expected my results to be a bit better as I am only 23. I understand that treatment is recommended once CD4 count approaches 350, and I am worried about how soon I may need to start treatment, as the information I had read suggested that on average, treatment usually starts 8-9 years down the track.<\/p>\n<p>I guess I just would like to know where i fit in with regards to &#39;the norm&#39;? I know that everybody is different, but are my results &#39;normal&#39; or would one expect them to be a bit higher considering that I am quite young and in fairly good health?<\/p>\n<p>What are the chances that I will not require HIV meds in the next 5 years?<\/p>\n<p>On average, how long after infection do people require medication? Thanks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,9,28,39],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-671","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-all-topics","category-cd4-and-viral-load","category-newly-diagnosed","category-starting-treatment"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/i-base.info\/qa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/i-base.info\/qa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/i-base.info\/qa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/i-base.info\/qa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/i-base.info\/qa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=671"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/i-base.info\/qa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/i-base.info\/qa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=671"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/i-base.info\/qa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=671"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/i-base.info\/qa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=671"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}