Fit for purpose: treatment optimisation 2014
19 July 2014. Related: Pipeline report, Fit for purpose, Treatment strategies.
Note: an updated version of this chapter was published in October 2014 as a separate 52-page A5 booklet (called Fit for purpose: Antiretroviral treatment optimisation).
The booklet was distributed by the Southern African Clinicians Society as a supplement to HTB South.
Download in PDF file. (400 Kb)
By Polly Clayden
Since the 2013 Pipeline Report treatment optimization has continued to gain traction. Results from one of the key dose optimization trials ENCORE1—showing a lower dose of efavirenz (EFV) is non-inferior to the currently approved one— were published,  and dolutegravir (DTG)—one of the most promising pipeline drugs for this purpose—was approved for use in rich countries. [2, 3]
The importance of making the necessary investment to generate data—that will not come out of trials required for approval in rich countries—to inform recommendations for low- and middle-income countries is being more widely discussed. Real life trial designs are being finessed, including in countries where the results will determine treatment strategies, and some are even being funded. 
If that wasn’t enough, Current Opinion in HIV and AIDS devoted a whole issue to treatment optimization in November 2013.  In one opinion paper from this journal the authors note that an “entirely nontoxic combination of antiretroviral drugs for first-line and second-line use would be an important advance for this field” and suggest that lamivudine (3TC), emtricitabine (FTC) and raltegravir (RAL) each provide clinical proof-of-concept that regimens with long-term safety and minimal side effects are a possibility. 
World Health Organization (WHO) released a March 2014 Supplement to the 2013 Consolidated Guidelines on the Use of Antiretroviral Drugs for Treating and Preventing HIV Infection, which provides more detail on optimized treatment and the role of the evolving science. 
Sharp-eyed readers will notice a subtle title change from last year in this update, written with optimism that joined up research and guidance seems to be happening: more fit and less retro.
The Story so Far
Treatment 2.0—a strategic approach by WHO and UNAIDS to the achievement of universal access to antiretroviral therapy and to making the most of the role of antiretrovirals in preventing new infections—includes treatment optimization as one of its critical components. 
Discussions about optimization—particularly through appropriate dose reduction—of approved antiretrovirals have been ongoing now for over a decade, [9, 10] the rationale being that when developing new drugs, the highest tolerated doses in phase II are often selected for phase III and, in turn, approval, where in some cases lower doses may have equivalent efficacy. Efficiencies can also be achieved by reducing the amount of active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) with improved bioavailability through reformulation, or by tweaking the process chemistry.
The Conference on Dose Optimization (CADO)—a collaborative project of the Clinton Health Access Initiative (CHAI), the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, held in 2010 and attended by process chemists, clinical pharmacologists, infectious disease specialists and experts in regulatory and ethical issues—led to a consensus statement on optimizing the manufacturing, formulation, and dosage of antiretroviral drugs for more cost-efficient delivery in resource-limited settings. [11, 12]
As the statement explains, the API is the largest part of the product cost of generic drugs; a reduction in this would potentially decrease the total cost of the product. The cost of a marketed generic drug typically consists of: API (65% to 75% of the total market price), formulation (10% to 20%), and packaging and profits (5% to15%).
There are several ways through dose optimization that API reduction might be accomplished:
- Dose reduction. In order to achieve regulatory approval for a dose lower than that currently approved, fully powered non-inferiority studies (phase III)—similar to those conducted by industry for the approval of a new drug—need to be done. It would take about three to six years to generate sufficient data to file with regulatory agencies, plus time to approval (about three months to a year). The estimated cost would be US$15 to 22 million.
- Reformulation. This strategy makes use of technologies and/or inactive ingredients to increase the bioavailability of a drug, which enables reduction of the approved dose. A reformulated compound will need bioequivalence studies with the approved formulation (phase I). The estimated time frame to regulatory filing is two to three years, at a cost of US$2 to 8 million.
- Process chemistry. It may also be possible to alter the manufacturing process leading to more efficient and less expensive API production. For this strategy to be successful, regulatory authorities would need to see only equivalent stability and purity data. This would take about one to two years, at an estimated cost of US$1 to 2 million.
Other factors in price reduction:
- Sourcing less expensive raw materials. This price depends on the volume needed, an increase in demand can attract new suppliers and in turn competition.
- Improvements in the manufacturing process can mean raw materials are converted to API more efficiently.
- Shelf life extension. To extend a typical two-year shelf life, real-time stability testing would be required with clear regulatory pathways.
In 2011 WHO held a follow up meeting to the first CADO, to work out ways to incorporate treatment optimization into future guidelines and the Treatment 2.0 initiative.  This yielded a number of short-term research priorities and recommendations including increased harmonization of adult and pediatric regimens, through FDCs and other simplified formulations.
Subsequent discussions at meetings led by Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) and WHO as well as the 2nd Conference on Dose Optimisation II (CADO2), have explored medium- and longer-term horizons for future treatment strategies. [14, 15, 16]
The plans, established at CADO 1 to increase cost-efficiencies, remain unchanged, and this research continues to gain momentum. In the four years since the original meeting, there has been an increasing emphasis on patient acceptability and preferences. Discussions have included a broader group of representatives from the community and caregivers with consensus that improved efficiencies need, not only reduce costs, but also improve tolerability and outcomes for people with HIV. It is acknowledged that these factors will be increasingly critical as indications for treatment grow and more asymptomatic people with HIV are offered antiretroviral treatment. All potential treatment options must be measured against these factors.
The aforementioned meetings and publications have described the target product profile (TPP) of a “dream regimen” of antiretrovirals—summarized in table 1.
|Safe and Effective||Superior or Equivalent to Currently Recommended Drugs|
|Simple||Possible to be given in decentralized facilities or the community. One pill once a day (less frequently might be possible in the future). No lead-in dosing. No dose adjustments when given with other common medicines. Heat-stable. Shelf life of two or more years.|
|Tolerable||Minimal toxicity. Reformulation and/or dose reduction might improve tolerability.|
|Durable||High genetic barrier to resistance. Low pharmacokinetic variability. Forgiving of missed doses. Tolerable for easier adherence.|
|Universal||Safe and effective across all CD4 strata; in people with high viral load; in men and women; during pregnancy; across age groups and with common coinfections such as tuberculosis (TB) or viral hepatitis.|
|Affordable||ARV coverage does not meet the estimated current need. Meanwhile, evidence is growing for earlier and wider use of treatment.|
Current World Health Organization Recommendations
For adult first-line treatment, a one pill, once-a-day fixed dose combination (FDC) of EFV plus tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) plus 3TC is agreed—across all expert consultations as well as in the 2013 World Health Organization Consolidated Guidelines on the Use of Antiretroviral Drugs for Treating and Preventing HIV Infection —to be the current preferred option in the short- and medium-term.
The key messages from the guidelines are:
- Use of once daily regimens is better than twice-daily regimens from both clinical and programmatic standpoints.
- FDCs are preferred for simplification, convenience, adherence, more efficient procurement, lower risk of stock outs and resistance.
- EFV is considered superior to nevirapine (NVP) in the long term, as studies showed less discontinuation. It is also associated with other clinical and programmatic advantages such as no need of lead in dose, use with TB treatment and safety/availability as a once daily FDC.
- For sequencing, TDF use has advantages from both clinical and programmatic perspectives: once daily, better in terms of resistance, and limits the risk of interaction with PIs.
CHAI produces an annual list of ceiling prices available to countries participating in their procurement consortium.  These prices, alongside those published by MSF Access Campaign in their excellent Untangling the Web of Antiretroviral Price Reductions inform those quoted in this chapter. 
The 2013 CHAI ceiling price for the preferred first line FDC is now US$131 per patient per year (pppy), which is a 21% reduction since 2012. With successful optimization work, this regimen could be expected to be less than $100 pppy.  Future changes to this regimen must either offer efficiencies with its components (such as a reduced dose with the same durability and improved tolerability), or superiority with new compounds.
The WHO 2013 guidelines-recommended second-line regimen remains ritonavir (RTV)-boosted protease inhibitor-based and, unlike recommendations in rich countries, lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r) rather than darunavir/ritonavir (DRV/r) is included alongside atazanavir/ritonavir (ATV/r). An optimized ATV/r regimen could be expected to be less than $275 pppy.
|First-line||TDF + 3TC (or FTC) + EFV preferred (including pregnant women)AZT alternative to TDFNVP alternative to EFV|
|Second-line||ATV/r or LPV/r preferred + TDF + 3TC preferred backbone (if AZT or d4T first-line)+ AZT + 3TC preferred (if TDF first-line)|
|Third-line||No specific recommendations: Integrase inhibitor (INI) or second-generation PI or NNRTI are mentioned|
TDF: tenofovir disoproxil fumarate
Treatment-limiting central nervous system (CNS) toxicities that are a concern with EFV could possibly be reduced with a lower dose. Fears about its use during pregnancy are steadily being assuaged, and more permissive recommendations—in line with the British HIV Association guidelines—are made in the WHO 2013 guidelines. [21, 22, 23, 24, 25]
Despite direct comparisons as monotherapy, 3TC and FTC are largely considered to be interchangeable in terms of efficacy and safety, and the WHO systematic review concluded this to be true.  Both are nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) and are structurally similar molecules with low toxicity, and both are effective against hepatitis B virus. Cost comparisons make 3TC the preferred option—using FTC instead in combination with EFV and TDF adds an annual patient cost of US$25 to a combined product. But this gap in price appears to be narrowing. Currently 3TC is available in more FDCs than FTC.
Updated systematic reviews looking at EFV in pregnancy and 3TC versus FTC are both included in the WHO March 2014 supplement to the guidelines.
Work on the bioavailability of TDF could bring down the price (currently US$54 pppy as a single agent), and further reductions still might be possible in the future with the pipeline pro-drug, tenofovir alafenamide (TAF).
LPV/r is still the most widely used protease inhibitor in second line regimens in low- and middle-income countries. But, the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has tentatively approved a heat-stable formulation of ATV/r. [27, 28] This 300/100 mg one-pill once-daily formulation is now US$220 pppy and compares favourably to LPV/r costing US$300 pppy, with four pills a day and twice-daily dosing. Mylan Pharmaceuticals has developed a two pill once-a-day co-packaged regimen of this plus 3TC and TDF; the ceiling price is US$306 pppy.
Once-daily heat-stable DRV/r would offer a better option to LPV/r second line. At present a suitable formulation (and suitable price) remains elusive. More research is required to establish optimal dosing. With expected comparable price to LPV/r (there is potential to reduce the current cost of DRV/r at $900 to below $350 pppy, if it was used in similar volumes to that of LPV/r currently) and a better profile, DRV/r should be a second-line option and not just considered for third-line treatment.
WHO recommendations for third-line treatment were introduced for the first time in 2010 and they remain much the same in 2013, suggesting, as well DRV/r, RAL, and second-generation non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI), etravirine (ETR) in nucleos(t)ide (NRTI)-sparing regimens. None of these yet have generic versions, and the costs are considerable.
It was agreed at CADO-2 that although first line standard of care is hard to beat, CNS side effects associated with EFV; and renal and bone toxicities associated with TDF (as well as its high milligram dose of 300 mg) might be improved upon. Issues of tolerability might be increasingly unacceptable as the eligibility criteria for antiretroviral therapy continues to broaden and more asymptomatic people start treatment.
The CADO-2 participants concluded that an FDC of TAF/3TC/DTG first line could be a possible future option (or one with a lower dose of EFV), with DRV/r and two NRTIs second line. People currently receiving EFV based first-line regimens might receive an FDC of DTG/DRV/r second-line.
In the Meantime Can we Do Better With What we Have?
Optimization with some of the approved antiretrovirals might offer several advantages over the current doses and/or formulations, and work is underway or under discussion with several compounds.  See table 3.
|Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF)300 mg once daily||NtRTI||CHAI in partnership with Scynexis, Corealis and AurobindoReformulation||Approx 33% reduction anticipatedTarget 200 mg TDF-containing FDC tabletCost reduction $50 to $35 pppy||TDF (hx)Underway|
|Zidovudine (AZT)300 mg twice daily||NRTI||Geneva University HospitalDose optimization RCT||Dose reduced to 200mg twice dailyCost reduction $89 to $60 pppy||MiniZID Phase IIICompleted January 2014Results to be announced this year|
|Stavudine (d4T)30 mg twice daily||NRTI||Wits Reproductive Health InstituteDose optimization and comparison with TDF, RCT||Dose reduced to 20mg twice dailyCost reduction $25 to $20 pppy||WHCS-001 Phase IIITo be completed end 2015/early 2016|
|Efavirenz (EFV)600 mg once daily||NNRTI||Kirby InstituteDose optimization RCTCHAI Reformulation||Dose reduced to 400 mg once dailyPotential additional 33% reduction by reformulationCost reduction $63 to $31 pppy||ENCORE 1400 mg non-inferior to 600 mg at 48 weeks|
|Atazanavir/ritonavir (ATV/r)300/100 mg once daily||PI||HIVNAT/Kirby InstituteDose optimization RCTCHAI Process chemistry||Dose reduced to 200/100Cost reduction $355 to $200 pppyAdditional potential price reduction by process chemistry||LASA IIIPhase III to be completed 2014|
|Darunavir/ritonavir (DRV/r)800/100 mg once daily or 600/100 mg twice daily||PI||Under discussionProcess chemistry, dose optimization and reformulation||API reduced from above $2000 to below $1000.Dose reduced from 800/100 to 400/100 mg once daily.Cost reduction $835 to below $350 pppy||Under discussion|
|Ritonavir (RTV)100 mg||Booster||Dose optimization||Boosting dose of atazanavir and darunavir reduced to 50 mg||Under discussion|
TDF is preferred as part of first-line treatment everywhere. It is considered to be the best NRTI on the market, and this is likely to continue for several years.
The price of TDF has dropped considerably since its introduction into the generic market. This is largely due to efficiencies in raw material sourcing and improved processing, which led to a 57 % drop in price between 2006 and 2010. [30, 31] It is now available for about US$50 pppy, a 74 % drop since 2006: a TDF-based FDC regimen is now available for about US$125 pppy.
There are limits to the lowest possible price of TDF due to its high milligram dose (300 mg) with the current formulation.
CHAI is developing a dosage form of TDF called TDF (hx) in partnership with companies performing the preclinical work (Scynexis), formulation screening and GMP work (Corealis) and a generic manufacturer (Aurobindo).
Through reformulation of the excipients, they aim to increase bioavailability and, in turn, lower the dose to an anticipated 200 mg, while maintaining equivalent exposure.
Bioequivalence studies will compare TDF (hx) to the 300 mg originator formulation of TDF (Viread) to provide evidence for tentative FDA approval of TDF (hx)-containing FDCs.
CHAI’s goal is to reach the market with a TDF (hx)-containing FDC in late 2017.
As well as TAF, being developed by Gilead, Merck is developing CMX-157, another prodrug of tenofovir. [32, 33, 34]
A TAF-containing FDC is not expected to reach the market in low- and middle- income countries before 2020 and would take a while to completely replace TDF. There has been little news of CMX-157.
If TDF remains the preferred first-line NRTI, AZT is likely to be used second-line in the short term.
The dose of AZT was reduced considerably from the initial 300 mg every four hours to 250 to 300 mg twice daily, after similar efficacy and increased safety was demonstrated. 
Although AZT is generally better tolerated than d4T over a long-term period, its hematologic toxicities (anemia/neutropenia) remain a concern in many low- and middle-income countries.
The MINIZID study looks at 200 mg versus 300 mg AZT twice daily (as part of a regimen with 3TC plus an NNRTI), with reduction of anemia as the primary endpoint.
This is a 48-week phase II study in 136 treatment-naive patients, sponsored by the University of Geneva and being conducted at the Hôpital de la Caisse Nationale de Prévoyance Sociale, Yaoundé, Cameroon. Recruitment began in August 2011 and it was completed in January 2014. 
If this strategy is successful, the study will not generate sufficient data for regulatory approval of the lower dose, but will provide proof of principle. Results will be announced in July this year.
Some Asian countries such as Thailand and India already use the AZT 250 mg tablet twice daily, and Thailand is currently using 200 mg twice daily in patients weighing less than 50 kg.
Of all the dose optimization strategies proposed or ongoing, the decision to use d4T is the most controversial. Unlike the other antiretrovirals for which these strategies are being suggested or conducted, d4T is no longer a preferred option in any guideline, anywhere, due to its toxicity profile. For several years, WHO has issued guidance for phasing out d4T.
The Wits Reproductive Health Institute in South Africa is leading a phase IIIb trial comparing 20 mg d4T twice daily to 300 mg TDF once daily in approximately 1,000 patients in South Africa, India and Uganda. The trial is supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
The primary objective is to demonstrate the non-inferiority of 20 d4T to 300 mg TDF (both in a regimen with 3TC plus EFV) in treatment-naive patients. The proportion of patients receiving each regimen with undetectable viral load (less than 200 copies/mL) at 48 weeks, will determine this. The secondary endpoints are to evaluate the tolerability, overall safety, and efficacy of 20 mg d4T compared to 300 mg TDF.
The trial is concerning, as it will not answer d4T’s long-term toxicity question. The 20 mg d4T dose might be acceptable in a short-term 48- or even 96-week virological endpoint study. But, because mitochondrial toxicity is both dose- and time-dependent, many of d4T’s most serious side effects (such as peripheral neuropathy and lipoatrophy) would not necessarily emerge until after such a study was completed. Although it looks at lipoatrophy, this study does not include monitoring of surrogate markers for mitochondrial toxicity, so it cannot shed light on the incidence of this serious adverse event.
The d4T parallel track program, which randomized over 10,000 patients to receive 40 (30) mg or 20 (15) mg (between October 1992 and February 1994), showed a higher incidence of neuropathy in the high-dose arm (21%). Nonetheless, the incidence of neuropathy observed in the lower dose arm was also unacceptably high (15%). 
In addition to concerns about cumulative toxicities, d4T-related cost savings might become irrelevant by the trial’s end. Through other dose optimization strategies and perhaps promising newly approved and pipeline compounds, alternatives are likely to become available that could drive regimen costs down with less risk to patient safety.
Activists from all over the world have opposed this trial. [38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44]
Since the trial was designed the price of TDF has come down more than was originally anticipated—TDF (hx) could reduce this even further—and uptake of TDF-containing FDCs has increased.
The most useful data from this trial will be on the safety of TDF in a resource limited setting.
EFV fulfils many of the desirable characteristics for the TPP. But it is associated with CNS side effects, which can lead to drug discontinuation, reported in as much as half the people receiving it in settings with access to alternatives. 
The ENCORE 1 study, showing 400 mg EFV to be non-inferior to 600 mg, was completed in July 2013. The 48-week results were published in The Lancet in April this year. 
The study found a reduced dose of 400 mg EFV non-inferior to the 600 mg standard dose (both plus TDF/FTC) in 636 treatment-naive patients at 48 weeks.
The study was conducted in Europe, Australasia, Latin America, Asia, and Africa.
Significantly fewer patients (approximately 3%) discontinued treatment due to EFV-related side effects (rash, CNS, gastrointestinal, but not psychiatric) from the 400 mg arm compared to the 600 mg arm and 10% fewer participants reported these side effects.
A very high proportion (approximately 90%) of participants had an undetectable viral load in this study.
Results from a pharmacokinetic sub-study of ENCORE 1 suggest that the current targets for EFV might be too high. [47, 48]
That comparable efficacy was achieved at reduced dose of EFV in ENCORE 1 (and potentially reduced cost) is an important finding.
The ENCORE 1 investigators suggest, “Lower dose efavirenz should be recommended as part of routine care”. WHO and the Adults ART Working Group question whether the lower dose would be robust in the presence of rifampicin (which reduces concentrations of EFV due to a drug-drug interaction) in treatment of TB/HIV coinfection and in the third trimester of pregnancy.
It seems that to recommend 400 mg EFV widely pharmacokinetic studies with rifampicin and in pregnant women will have to be conducted. One question will be, what pharmacokinetic targets are appropriate for treatment success?
The high API of EFV is due in part to its poor water solubility. CHAI is looking at reformulation, targeting the inactive ingredients, to improve this.
Nanosuspensions of EFV, using freeze-drying technology are also in development, which could result in improved bioavailability and possibly greater antiviral activity. [49, 50]
The research group at the University of Liverpool is developing a nanosuspension of EFV. 
Dose reduction may also be possible with ATV/r, and the HIV Netherlands Australia Thailand Research Collaboration, with some support from the Kirby Institute, is conducting a trial that might provide some evidence for this strategy. 
The low-dose ATV/r versus standard-dose ATV/r (LASA) study is comparing the efficacy and safety of ATV/r at either 200/100 mg or 300/100 mg once-daily in 560 Thai patients in combination with two NRTIs. This non-inferiority, phase IV study with about 600 patients began recruiting in March 2011 and results should be announced this year.
This study enrolled patients who were already virologically suppressed to switch to the lower or standard dose of ATV/r. This research is important for Thailand as patients tend to have a lower body weight, and hyperbilirubinemia occurs quite frequently. It will be difficult to generalize the results from this research beyond the study population, but positive results would provide good reason to conduct a study in treatment-naive patients from a broader population.
CHAI is also working on optimizing the process chemistry.
DRV/r is generally considered to be the most durable protease inhibitor, but there is no generic formulation, and cost has been a barrier to its wide use. As it is not yet recommended for second-line treatment by WHO there has been limited work on its optimization.
This drug has different approved doses for treatment-naive (including treatment- experienced but with no DRV-associated mutations) and protease inhibitor-experienced patients. Treatment-naive patients receive DRV/r at an 8:1 (800/100 mg) ratio once daily, and experienced patients at a 6:1 ratio (600/100 mg) twice daily. The original dose ranging studies of DRV/r were conducted in highly protease inhibitor-experienced patients [53, 54] for protease inhibitor-naive people there might be potential for dose reduction to 400/100 mg.
The ratios also vary for children depending on their weight band and treatment experience.
The establishment of single ratios for adults and children (as well as recommendations for when best to use it) would make simpler DRV/r-based regimens and formulations more feasible.
CHAI is working on optimizing the process chemistry.
It might be possible to give ATV and DRV with a lower boosting dose of RTV.
Lower doses could be better tolerated, cheaper, and easier to coformulate with protease inhibitors than the current dose.
If a 50 mg heat-stable tablet of ritonavir could be manufactured or 50 mg co-formulated with either PI, new bioequivalence trials would be needed to ensure that boosting effects were similar to those that have been achieved previously in small pharmacokinetic trials with the liquid formulation.
A 50 mg RTV tablet would also be very useful for pediatric dosing, as the liquid is expensive, impractical (particularly for resource-limited settings) and tastes dreadful. 
Research Gaps and Planned Trials to Address Them
For the recommendations from CADO 2 and the Adults ART Working Group to be realized, new trials are needed to address gaps in information on how new optimized doses, recently approved or pipeline drugs will perform in public health programs in low- and middle-income counties. Table 4 summarises research gaps and what is needed and Table 7 describes trials in the planning stage or about to start.
|Optimised strategy||Tolerability||Resistance||Convenience||PW, TB, children||Cost reduction||Action needed||Estimated timeline (years)|
|Low dose EFV||√||?||√||?||√||PK studies (PW and TB)||1-2|
|Low dose DRV/r||√||?||√||?||√||PK studies (titration of best DRV:RTV ratio)RCT (comparative studies standard vs. low dose)||2-5|
|Use of DTG||√||√||√||?||√||Studies in PW, TB and childrenComparative trials (TDF/TAF) first lineRCT (DRV/r+DTG second line)||2-5|
|Use of TAF||√||?||√||?||√||Comparative trials using DTGStudies in PW, TB and children||2-5|
|Long-acting formulations||√||?||√||?||√||Phase II/III studies (treatment and preventative)||>5|
PW: pregnant women
RCT: randomized controlled trial
Source: Adapted from Marco Vitoria. Global Access to New HIV Therapies. WHO 2014. 2014 June.
First-line studies are needed to determine FDC regimens that are equally or more potent and more durable, tolerable and affordable than TDF/ XTC (refers to either 3TC or FTC)/EFV 600mg, including TAF/ XTC/DTG and TAF/XTC/EFV 400mg.
For second-line, studies are needed to identify improved regimens, particularly looking at the role of DRV/r in replacing LPV/r or ATV/r. Studies of reduced dose DRV/r, in combination with recycled NRTIs or DTG are important.
A one pill, once a day option is desirable for second-line.
Several trials are either at the planning stage or a bit further along the pipeline.
Low Dose Efavirenz
Pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic modelling of the data from ENCORE1 is currently ongoing to help better understand predictors of EFV pharmacokinetics and response in a heterogeneous population.
Since the announcement of the trial results last year, there has been a lot of discussion about recommending the reduced dose, particularly in low-income countries where the resulting cost savings would be considerable.
Questions about whether or not 400 mg will be robust enough in the third trimester of pregnancy and in the presence of concomitant treatment for TB have delayed recommendations from WHO and national guidelines.
There are five studies that include 235 women treated with 600 mg EFV in pregnancy in which drug concentrations were not significantly affected and there were high rates of viral load suppression in the mothers at the time of delivery.  The results suggest that pregnancy has slight if any clinically important effects on EFV pharmacokinetics.
For rifampicin, there have been a number of short-term pharmacokinetic studies with 600 mg EFV showing reduction in plasma concentrations. It is unclear how useful these results are when EFV has not reached steady state. Longer-term studies in HIV-positive people have shown increased Cmin or no effect.  In order to determine whether the pharmacokinetic interaction between rifampicin and EFV is different using the 400mg dose (there may be different induction effects) a new study is considered necessary.
It seems that to recommend 400 mg EFV widely pharmacokinetic studies with rifampicin and in pregnant women will have to be conducted and these are in the planning stage.
It is also important to remember that in the early DMP-266 005 trial of EFV there was no difference in viral suppression between people receiving 200 mg, 400 mg and 600 mg at 16 weeks.  There is talk of exploring the 200 mg dose compared to 400mg and 600 mg.
With a low 50 mg once-daily dose that does not require boosting, very good efficacy, minimal toxicity, pregnancy category B, and the potential to be low cost and coformulated, DTG might be an option for use in low- and middle-income countries. It could replace EFV first-line or be used second-line. It is also predicted to cost US$30 pppy to manufacture: 90% cheaper than RAL.
DTG was superior to EFV at 48 weeks in antiretroviral naive patients in phase III trials.  Data from this comparison and from studies comparing DTG to RAL and in people with resistance to other integrase inhibitors [60, 61] were used to gain approval for a broad indication in adults and adolescents aged 12 and above.  The indication for 12 to18 year olds is based on a 24-week open-label label study in integrase inhibitor-naive patients.
Some of the registrational trials were open label and included people that received a TDF/FTC backbone (as opposed to ABC/3TC from the originator company) so there are some preliminary data on this potential preferred regimen. See table 5.
|Trial||Number and percentage on TDF/FTC|
|SINGLE||All received ABC/3TC (regimen comparison study)|
|SAILING||Not in publication. Numbers will be small as most people has a boosted PI in their background regimen plus one other antiretroviral|
Although some of the registrational trials now have two years data, how DTG is likely to perform in a real world, low- or middle-income setting still poses questions. Populations in these settings include significantly larger proportions of women of childbearing age, children, and people with TB, malaria, and other coinfections, but research is conducted in order to provide information to register drugs for rich countries. 
DTG has been studied in several treatment scenarios and regimens, but so far this has not included key populations who would be treated with DTG in low-and middle-income countries. The registrational trials for DTG were about 80% men, few non-white participants and hardly anyone co-infected with other diseases (a few hepatitis B and none with TB or malaria). People with baseline NRTI resistance were excluded. Table 6 shows the number of women in phase III DTG trials.
|Trial||Number and percentage of women|
Information about treating HIV/TB coinfection with a DTG-based regimen is limited. So far a phase I study has been conducted in healthy volunteers of DTG given with rifampicin and with rifabutin.  This suggested that 50 mg twice daily dosing is likely to be required when it is co-administered with rifampicin to overcome UGT1A/CYP3A induction by this drug, which is used in standard first line TB treatment. A study of 50 mg DTG twice daily during TB treatment is in the final planning stages.
As yet there is no information about DTG in pregnant women, although animal reproduction studies are not always predictive of human response, no safety issues were revealed in preclinical studies.
The originator company is sponsoring a number of trials to address some of these gaps and several investigator-led trials are also planned.
Low Dose Darunavir/ritonavir
The FDA approved dose for DRV/r is 600/100 mg twice daily for people pretreated with protease inhibitors and 800/100 mg for protease inhibitor naive people. It might be possible to reduce the dose of DRV/r for protease inhibitor-naive patients from 800/100 mg to 400/100 mg once-daily (or even 50 mg RTV).
No dose finding studies have ever been conducted with DRV/r in naive patients.
One-Pill, Two-Pill, Red-Pill, Blue-Pill
For people failing EFV-based first line treatment—greater access to viral load monitoring is expected to swell this population—discussions about a one-pill once-daily second-line regimen with DRV/r are underway.
A regimen of DRV/r plus DTG has the potential to be a once-daily coformulated second-line option, with no cross-resistance to the current recommended first line. The potential strategy using the once daily first-line followed by coformulated DRV/r plus DTG is known as Pill A, Pill B (Pill 1, Pill 2 or Red Pill, Blue Pill). Planned studies will compare two doses of DRV/r (800 and 400 mg) in regimens with either DTG or two NRTIs.
|Low dose EFV studies|
|EFV 400 mg TB||SSAT/BMGF||PK EFV 400 mg with isoniazid and rifampicin||Protocol in final stages|
|EFV 400 mg pregnancy||SSAT/BMGF||PK EFV 400 mg in third trimester pregnancy and post partum||Protocol in final stages|
|ULTRA-HAARTEFV 200 vs 400 vs 600 mg||UK MRC||EFV 200 vs 400 vs. 600 mg once daily, non-inferiority plus superior tolerability with reduced doses96 weeksMultinational||Funding approval phase|
|NAMSALDTG vs 400 mg EFV||ANRS||400 mg EFV plus 3TC/TDF vs DTG plus 3TC/TDF in 550 antiretroviral naive participants48 weeksSites in several African countries||First line, phase III investigator-led studyFew exclusion criteria, includes people with TB co-infection and aims to be as close as possible to real lifeCofunding under discussion|
|DOLphin (dolutegravir in pregnant HIV mothers and neonates)||University of Liverpool/Makerere University/ViiV||DTG PK in pregnant women in third trimester and post partum during breastfeeding60 late presenting women (after 28 weeks gestation)Women randomized 1:1 to receive DTG (50 mg once daily) or standard of care (EFV) plus two NRTIs.Sites in Uganda||Phase II investigator-led studyProtocol in final stages|
|TB||ViiV||DTG vs EFV, 50 mg DTG twice daily during TB treatment with rifampicin in 125 treatment naïve participants48 weeks||Phase IIIbProtocol approved|
|Malaria||University of Liverpool/ Makerere University||PK DTG and artemisinin-based combination therapies for in 46 healthy volunteers||Phase I investigator-led study|
|Second line||ViiV||DTG vs LPV/r in approximately 600 1st line treatment experienced participants with virological failure in LMICMultinational||Phase IIIb|
|ARIA||ViiV||DTG/ABC/3TC vs. ATV/r+TDF/FTC in 470 treatment naive womenPregnancy is an exclusion criterionMultinational, sites in South Africa||Phase IIIb studyUnderway|
|Pregnancy||ViiV||DTG 50 mg PK and safety third trimester and post partum in women who become pregnant in DTG/ABC/3TC FDC study||Not yet recruiting|
|SL2 pilot||BMGF||DTG+DRV/r 400/100mg once-daily * vs DTG+DRV/r 800/100 once daily vs. TDF/FTC+DRV/r once daily in 120 treatment naïve participants48 weeks||Funding approval phase|
|SL2 registration||BMGF||DTG+DRV/r 400/100 vs. TDF/FTC+DRV/r 800/100 once daily in 600 1st line experienced participantsPowered for non-inferiority96 weeksAfrica/SE Asia||Funding approval phaseData for FDA, PEPFAR and WHO approval|
|DRV/r once daily trial (South Africa)||WRHI||200 2nd line participants stable on LPV/r+2 NRTI twice daily to stay or switch to DRV/r 400/100mg once daily48 weeks||Funding approval stage|
|DRV/r once daily (France)||ANRS||Single arm 100 stable participants switch to DRV 400/100 once daily plus 2 NRTI||Starting later 2014|
ANRS: National Agency for AIDS Research, France
BMGF: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
SSAT: St Stephen’s AIDS Trust, UK
UK MRC: UK Medicines Research Council
WRHI: Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, South Africa.
*Arm conditional on favourable results from DRV/r 400/100 mg
TAF is not yet approved and in phase III—it could also be a useful new drug (the development plans are discussed in the adult antiretroviral chapter of this report). With doses 10 times or more lower than that of TDF, the cost of TAF is predicted to be appropriately lower, and could come in at an annual patient cost of as little as US$20. 
Gilead are hopeful that this compound will have a better safety profile at a much lower dose than TDF. It is critical that Gilead recognizes the potential for this compound as a future component of generic FDCs.
At present the Gilead is prioritising the development of TAF in potential FDCs with elvitegravir (EVG, its own integrase inhibitor that needs to be boosted), the boosting agent cobicistat (COBI) and FTC. It is also developing an FDC with boosted DRV/r.
Due to a drug-drug interaction with COBI that increases the levels of tenofovir 2.5-fold, a dose of 10 mg is being used in regimens with boosted agents.
The information generated by the development program might not be sufficient inform the production of a generic FDC of TAF/DTG/3TC, as prioritised by CADO-2.
Close to 300 activist organisations and individuals signed letter to Gilead demanding that the company conducts investigations into dosing of TAF in unboosted regimens. 
Recent discussions have been more promising and the company is developing a 10mg and/or 25mg TAF plus 200mg FTC coformulated tablet(s). The TAF dose will depend on the results of pharmacokinetic evaluations. From the original dose ranging studies where 8 mg monotherapy was non-inferior to 300 mg TDF, 10mg might be sufficient for unboosted regimens.
This drug-drug interaction work is currently ongoing.
In future the long term it will be important to include TAF in real life trials, in place of TDF.
Long Acting Formulations
There is a lot of excitement about the possibility of long acting formulations for resource limited settings—also discussed in the adult antiretroviral chapter of this report—and their potential to vastly change standard of care.
As yet there is not clarity on the target product profile—both for the molecules and for patient acceptability—for these formulations. Nor is it clear if the right combination of compounds required to construct a suitable regimen are available or even in development.
What Needs to Be Done?
- Treatment optimization must best serve people with HIV
This is repeated once again but deserves emphasis. The d4T trial remains an example of a widely unpopular strategy. Acceptability for HIV-positive people and activists is always important. This will become increasingly so as indications for starting become broader and more asymptomatic people with HIV are offered treatment.There is some concern that DTG might only be prioritized for second-line treatment. If DTG is as good a drug as it appears (and a better and more tolerable one than EFV) it should also be recommended first-line. There will be sufficient numbers of people who fail first-line treatment with the currently recommended EFV-based regimen to justify the DRV/r plus DTG second-line strategy. Research and formulation work needed to make first-line DTG regimens an option must be conducted.
- Plan phase III and subsequent trials to generate necessary data
As far as possible when trials are being planned for registration, these should be designed with broader populations—that will eventually use the drug—in mind.Where information is not going to be forthcoming from these, the originator companies and independent investigators need to fill the gaps in a timely fashion.
- Investments must be made
In order to generate data to provide evidence to make it possible to use new drugs and strategies that will not come from registrational trials additional research will be needed. Funding and support for complementary studies for resource limited settings is critical.
- Speed up the time between approvals
There are still big gaps between full FDA/EMA approval and WHO prequalification, FDA tentative approval, and approval by local regulatory agencies.Delays with the registration process, in addition to production by generic manufacturers and recommendations in national guidelines, means that it takes years from promising results in trials and initial approval to wide availability for the majority of people in need of antiretroviral treatment.
- Joined up planning and thinking
This is happening more and more. It is unfortunate that after ENCORE1 results were announced additional information is still needed before the lower dose EFV can be recommended. For future optimization work, additional research needs to be done simultaneously with the main trials and not considered afterwards.
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